Election day thread

[Tnhawk]

Also - if the incumbent was so great at her job, and campaigned well - how did a literal kid barely old enough to run for office with zero experience relating to the job duties who did no campaigning beat her - if the people were happy with her? Maybe there's more to it than an uneducated voter base? Maybe she was shit at her job, maybe she is a shitty person who has alienated enough people, or maybe she's never run with opposition before (or recently, anyway) and the people are just sick of incumbents in general? In any case - elected positions are not appointments for life, the office holder is not entitled to re-election, and voting has consequences. Hays County is about to find that out come January.

While not familiar with the Hays County Clerk, it would seem if the Clerk was doing a poor job there would have been a serious opponent.

 

[Sasquatch]

While not familiar with the Hays County Clerk, it would seem if the Clerk was doing a poor job there would have been a serious opponent.

Probably

 

[PinnedandRecessed]

Also - if the incumbent was so great at her job, and campaigned well - how did a literal kid barely old enough to run for office with zero experience relating to the job duties who did no campaigning beat her - if the people were happy with her? Maybe there's more to it than an uneducated voter base? Maybe she was shit at her job, maybe she is a shitty person who has alienated enough people, or maybe she's never run with opposition before (or recently, anyway) and the people are just sick of incumbents in general? In any case - elected positions are not appointments for life, the office holder is not entitled to re-election, and voting has consequences. Hays County is about to find that out come January.

Hays County is fast, if not already, becoming Travis Co. Jr. The challenger won because he had a (D) next to his name. He admitted it in the interview. The winning percentage gap was consistent across the board, for races within the county, which would indicate incumbent competency was not an issue.

 

[leVieux]

Hays County has always been peculiar.

 

[Me]

Hays County is fast, if not already, becoming Travis Co. Jr. The challenger won because he had a (D) next to his name. He admitted it in the interview. The winning percentage gap was consistent across the board, for races within the county, which would indicate incumbent competency was not an issue.

This... well almost (see more about winning percentage margin below). It's the letter after his name. Beto won Hays by 11 points. Dan Patrick lost by 11. Ken Paxton by 13. Second tier state offices lost by between 6 and 11 points. There are a couple GOP enclaves where the Republican state rep won but Hays county overwhelmingly voted Dem this cycle so the winds were against the GOP candidate. That said, she outperformed the top of the ticket candidates very well, she only lost her race by 2 points. Without exit polling specific to that race we can't draw too many specific conclusions but I'd bet some combination of incumbency, name recognition, actual supporters (i.e. people like her), funding, and skilled campaigning that she had and her challenger did not. He managed to skate in on straight ticket voting despite all his disadvantages but didn't do nearly as well as almost all the other Dem candidates.

edit: minor change for clarity.

 

[PinnedandRecessed]

He managed to skate in on straight ticket voting despite all his disadvantages

The point of the referenced post was to dispel the notion that she lost due to incompetency. The fact that her specific race bucked the trend, but was still not enough, reinforces that position.

 

[Me]

The point of the referenced post was to dispel the notion that she lost due to incompetency. The fact that her specific race bucked the trend, but was still not enough, reinforces that position.

You're correct. I was 99.9% agreeing with you, I guess I wasn't as clear as I intended to be. My only nitpick is that there weren't totally consistent margins down the line. We're both saying the same thing though.

 

[Eastexasrick]

You're correct. I was 99.9% agreeing party with you, I guess I wasn't as clear as I intended to be. My only nitpick is that there weren't totally consistent margins down the line. We're both saying the same thing though.

To wit : straight line dumb masses pull it from people who actually knew her, and had a clue what they were voting for.

 

[Eastexasrick]

Dumb masses = well shoot, if I say it I will get censored.

 

[candcallen]

Dumb masses = well shoot, if I say it I will get censored.

Ain't no censorship here. God knows I tried. Lol

 

[PinnedandRecessed]

You're correct. I was 99.9% agreeing with you, I guess I wasn't as clear as I intended to be. My only nitpick is that there weren't totally consistent margins down the line. We're both saying the same thing though.

No problem here. I looked over the official totals but chose to generalize for the sake of brevity and assumed lack of interest from those not residing in Hays. It's good that we all keep each other honest.

 

[Texan79423]

 

[motorcarman]

 

[wiredgeorge]

Cruz gives Mitch the credit for the fumble:

'INDEFENSIBLE' Ted Cruz Rips McConnell For 'Abandoning' America First Candidates In Midterms - Freedom Talk

Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) has made himself the latest prominent Republican official to cast blame on Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) over the Republican Party’s poor midterm election performance. “Well, let me start off by saying I am so pissed off, I cannot even see straight,” Cruz...

realfreedomtalk.com

 

[toddnjoyce]

Cruz gives Mitch the credit for the fumble:

'INDEFENSIBLE' Ted Cruz Rips McConnell For 'Abandoning' America First Candidates In Midterms - Freedom Talk

Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) has made himself the latest prominent Republican official to cast blame on Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) over the Republican Party’s poor midterm election performance. “Well, let me start off by saying I am so pissed off, I cannot even see straight,” Cruz...

realfreedomtalk.com

Interesting since Mitch put $130M+ into the PA, OH, and GA senate races alone since the Trump endorsed candidates couldn’t raise enough money on their own.

GOP Senate candidates receive record ad $$$ from McConnell-aligned super PAC

The Senate Leadership Fund has spent $41M on advertising in the commonwealth’s U.S. Senate race between John Fetterman and Mehmet Oz

www.cityandstatepa.com

ETA: and close to a quarter billion into 7 Trump-endorsed Senate seats in total.

McConnell’s PACs Put Money Where Trump’s Mouth Is

If Republicans take back the Senate next Tuesday, thank Mitch McConnell. Through his super PAC, the Senate Leadership Fund (SLF), and other affiliated groups, the Republican leader has led an extraordinary, quarter-of-a-billion-dollareffort to rescue struggling Trump-backed Senate candidates —...

www.aei.org

 

[Me]

Interesting since Mitch put $130M+ into the PA, OH, and GA senate races alone since the Trump endorsed candidates couldn’t raise enough money on their own.

GOP Senate candidates receive record ad $$$ from McConnell-aligned super PAC

The Senate Leadership Fund has spent $41M on advertising in the commonwealth’s U.S. Senate race between John Fetterman and Mehmet Oz

www.cityandstatepa.com

ETA: and close to a quarter billion into 7 Trump-endorsed Senate seats in total.

McConnell’s PACs Put Money Where Trump’s Mouth Is

If Republicans take back the Senate next Tuesday, thank Mitch McConnell. Through his super PAC, the Senate Leadership Fund (SLF), and other affiliated groups, the Republican leader has led an extraordinary, quarter-of-a-billion-dollareffort to rescue struggling Trump-backed Senate candidates —...

www.aei.org

Meanwhile Trump sends out emails asking for money on candidates behalf but has a 90/10 split of the donations favoring his own campaign. I don't have the numbers at my fingertips but I believe Trump raised ~$100M and spent $15M on his hand picked candidates this year.

Edit to add: in the case of Blake Masters the default split with Trump was 99% Trump and 1% Masters...

Trump is splitting donations with Blake Masters 99-to-1. It could be a boon for Masters anyway.

The Arizona Senate candidates is one of Trump's prized endorsees in the midterm election.

www.politico.com

linked article tries to play it off as if it's a boon to Masters because he'll get contact info. He already has access to the GOP Voter Vault which has all those data and much much much more.

 

[wiredgeorge]

Abbot investigating Harris County voting irregularities...

Gov. Greg Abbott calls for investigation of Harris County elections 'improprieties'

 

[Younggun]

Meanwhile Trump sends out emails asking for money on candidates behalf but has a 90/10 split of the donations favoring his own campaign. I don't have the numbers at my fingertips but I believe Trump raised ~$100M and spent $15M on his hand picked candidates this year.

Edit to add: in the case of Blake Masters the default split with Trump was 99% Trump and 1% Masters...

Trump is splitting donations with Blake Masters 99-to-1. It could be a boon for Masters anyway.

The Arizona Senate candidates is one of Trump's prized endorsees in the midterm election.

www.politico.com

linked article tries to play it off as if it's a boon to Masters because he'll get contact info. He already has access to the GOP Voter Vault which has all those data and much much much more.

IIRC, Trump spent money to get his picks through the primaries then locked up the piggy bank.

 

[etmo]

Looks like the House is ours. Nancy can go be Ambassador to Italy or whatever. Here's to 2 years of gridlock, followed by a great 2024 election

 

[cycleguy2300]

Trumps negatives are actually that high. He needs to see reality.

Every Republican needs to publicly tell him hes done and to move on.

Shitty thing is that hes such a egomaniacal child he would run as an independent just to screw everyone over.

And I'm pretty OK with voting for him to do just that. Possibly with the exception of DeSantis (assuming there is actually some beef) who on his list of names shouldn't be fucked over? Mitch? Mit? Murkowski?

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