I know you've said, how many kw is your system rated for again?The only thing about solar is that you need to calculate what the lowest amount is that you can possibly get by with and check to see what the lowest amount of production would be on a rainy day.
There's a HUGE difference between production on very cloudy days compared to mostly sunny days as you can see from my examples of recent days on my system:
Very sunny day with little clouds:
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Very cloudy day with rain:
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