If Haley could not win in NH, she might as well hang it up.
WSJ observations:
With his convincing win over Nikki Haley in the GOP primary, the former president showed that a dominating share of the Republican Party’s core voters are still with him and that his momentum toward the party nomination grows. But the New Hampshire results also signaled that Trump risks losing enough Republicans—as well as a substantial share of independent voters—to create a problem for him as a general-election candidate in November.
The first task for any candidate is to unify the party. But 19% of Republicans who cast ballots in New Hampshire said they would be so dissatisfied with Trump as the nominee that they wouldn’t vote for him in November, according to AP VoteCast, a survey of primary voters. Similarly, 15% of Republicans who participated in Iowa’s caucuses last week said they wouldn’t support Trump in the general election.
66% of independents say they will not vote for Trump.
However, we all know the weaknesses in polls. And Trump might well draw much better amongst Hispanics and blacks this time around.
There's a reason some have left the GOP except in name only. But that reason also brings in new blood hopefully to exceed what defected.
I’ve yet to hear how a Trump or Biden outcome is distinguishable; they’re both lame ducks on day 1 so all you get are EOs and NPRMs that will be challenged in the courts.
The article was referring to voters, rather than politicians, not voting Republican.Sure, there will be defectors from the GOP, but they left eight years ago not only with their votes, but many publicly campaigning/speaking out against him, Bushes, Romney, Kochs, Bill Kristol, Lincoln Project Stooges, et al. Nothing new.
That's the thing about Trump, he's redefined the battle lines by focusing his policies on the largely ignored or forgotten middle class. And while that will drive away the parasitic faction of the elitist GOP, at the same time he can and I believe will bring new voters, classes and demographics under the tent that were reliably D voters that the GOP, until 2016, hadn't had in over three decades.
There's a reason some have left the GOP except in name only. But that reason also brings in new blood hopefully to exceed what defected.
His numbers with minorities are polling significantly better now. FWIW.I don't remember the numbers, but I have a vague memory that Trump did very well with Hispanics & blacks, weren't his numbers historically good for a Republican?
As for the %ages of voters who won't vote for Trump no matter what, that is a huge problem, Trump better have a strategy to overcome it. Hopefully something other than, "Just do what I did last time, and hope it works this time"
Article 3 judge/Justice appointments is a big one
That requires Senate confirmation and unless the R’s take the Senate, it doesn’t matter who Trump would nominate given his political capital to get a nominee tru a hostile Senate wouldn’t exist.
However, McConnell (yes, he has its faults), managed to push Trump's appointees through last time around.Even if the R's have majorities in both houses, there's enough TDS to create obstacles to any confirmation for his nominees.
I know. Those were just well-known examples of the type/mindset of the GOP never-Trumper, but would include whatever part of the GOP electorate feels the same and/or follows their lead. And of course politicians and media hacks vote, too.The article was referring to voters, rather than politicians, not voting Republican.
Could well be.I know. Those were just well-known examples of the type/mindset of the GOP never-Trumper, but would include whatever part of the GOP electorate feels the same and/or follows their lead. And of course politicians and media hacks vote, too.
My point is when you lose an investment banker in NY, then you pick up a steelworker in PA or a small business owner in Anytown, USA, or perhaps even an inner city dweller that's been reliably dem for eternity that now sees firsthand the plight of an open border and how it negatively affects them and their life.
Again, redefined battle lines.
However, McConnell (yes, he has its faults), managed to push Trump's appointees through last time around.
She has finished last in two states so far. If you ain't in front, the view never changes.In the current situation, I am having trouble seeing any benefit from Haley continuing. Probably best she drops out and everyone gets behind Trump.
So Trumps judges won’t get confirmed by a senate that would confirm all of Biden’s judges. Sounds like a win for Trump voters.That requires Senate confirmation and unless the R’s take the Senate, it doesn’t matter who Trump would nominate given his political capital to get a nominee tru a hostile Senate wouldn’t exist.
However, McConnell (yes, he has its faults), managed to push Trump's appointees through last time around.